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Department Of Homeland Security predictions & odds

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Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

$10.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

10%

$17.6K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

41%

$4.6K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

14%

May 31

$3.4K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$349 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

15%

$162K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

7%

$71.9K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

65%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

121

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

17%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

10

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

29%

June 30

$131K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

100%

December 31

$889K Vol.

$434K today

$91.1K Liq.

77

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

48%

$10.1K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

24%

$7.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$50.0K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

17%

June 30

$350K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

7

Ends in about 2 months

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

21%

$71.2K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

16%

$50 Vol.

$456 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

43%

$116K Vol.

$466 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for Department Of Homeland Security that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kash Patel out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kash Patel out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Department Of Homeland Security predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.