Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victor in the 2026 Senate race. The state has elected only Republicans to the chamber since 1977, with the last Democratic win occurring in 1970, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis is retiring, leaving an open seat where Harriet Hageman leads a competitive GOP primary against lesser-known challengers and holds endorsements from party figures. Democrat James Byrd faces the state's pronounced partisan tilt and limited historical success in statewide races. While the August primary could introduce variables, the general election outcome remains structurally insulated absent major shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
94%
Democrat
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$6,840 거래량
94%
Democrat
$2,489 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victor in the 2026 Senate race. The state has elected only Republicans to the chamber since 1977, with the last Democratic win occurring in 1970, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis is retiring, leaving an open seat where Harriet Hageman leads a competitive GOP primary against lesser-known challengers and holds endorsements from party figures. Democrat James Byrd faces the state's pronounced partisan tilt and limited historical success in statewide races. While the August primary could introduce variables, the general election outcome remains structurally insulated absent major shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$9,328종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victor in the 2026 Senate race. The state has elected only Republicans to the chamber since 1977, with the last Democratic win occurring in 1970, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis is retiring, leaving an open seat where Harriet Hageman leads a competitive GOP primary against lesser-known challengers and holds endorsements from party figures. Democrat James Byrd faces the state's pronounced partisan tilt and limited historical success in statewide races. While the August primary could introduce variables, the general election outcome remains structurally insulated absent major shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,328종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victor in the 2026 Senate race. The state has elected only Republicans to the chamber since 1977, with the last Democratic win occurring in 1970, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis is retiring, leaving an open seat where Harriet Hageman leads a competitive GOP primary against lesser-known challengers and holds endorsements from party figures. Democrat James Byrd faces the state's pronounced partisan tilt and limited historical success in statewide races. While the August primary could introduce variables, the general election outcome remains structurally insulated absent major shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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