Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the state's status as the nation's reddest, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Republican winner in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted against a second term, but the Republican primary features Harriet Hageman as the clear frontrunner with broad party support ahead of the August 18 vote. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the party's inability to secure the seat since 1970. All major forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican. While a national Democratic surge or unexpected primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap, structural factors like voter registration and turnout patterns create substantial barriers to an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
94%
Democrat
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$6,951 거래량
94%
Democrat
$2,989 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the state's status as the nation's reddest, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Republican winner in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted against a second term, but the Republican primary features Harriet Hageman as the clear frontrunner with broad party support ahead of the August 18 vote. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the party's inability to secure the seat since 1970. All major forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican. While a national Democratic surge or unexpected primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap, structural factors like voter registration and turnout patterns create substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$9,939종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the state's status as the nation's reddest, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Republican winner in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted against a second term, but the Republican primary features Harriet Hageman as the clear frontrunner with broad party support ahead of the August 18 vote. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the party's inability to secure the seat since 1970. All major forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican. While a national Democratic surge or unexpected primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap, structural factors like voter registration and turnout patterns create substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,939종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the state's status as the nation's reddest, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Republican winner in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted against a second term, but the Republican primary features Harriet Hageman as the clear frontrunner with broad party support ahead of the August 18 vote. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the party's inability to secure the seat since 1970. All major forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican. While a national Democratic surge or unexpected primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap, structural factors like voter registration and turnout patterns create substantial barriers to an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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