Trump’s second term has seen no verified health issues, legal proceedings, or official statements indicating any intention to resign before the end of 2026. Institutional barriers, including unified Republican congressional support and the absence of 25th Amendment triggers or successful impeachment efforts, continue to underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of an early exit. Speculation from Democratic strategists about post-2026 midterm frustration has not produced measurable market movement, as no concrete catalysts—such as major legislative setbacks or party defections—have materialized in recent months. Upcoming November midterms remain a potential variable, yet current positioning reflects the view that structural and political factors make voluntary departure before 2027 highly improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$18,300 거래량
$18,300 거래량
예
$18,300 거래량
$18,300 거래량
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second term has seen no verified health issues, legal proceedings, or official statements indicating any intention to resign before the end of 2026. Institutional barriers, including unified Republican congressional support and the absence of 25th Amendment triggers or successful impeachment efforts, continue to underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of an early exit. Speculation from Democratic strategists about post-2026 midterm frustration has not produced measurable market movement, as no concrete catalysts—such as major legislative setbacks or party defections—have materialized in recent months. Upcoming November midterms remain a potential variable, yet current positioning reflects the view that structural and political factors make voluntary departure before 2027 highly improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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