Trader consensus implies a 77% probability against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the distinction between targeted military operations and large-scale occupations requiring congressional authorization and sustained troop deployments. The Trump administration's January 3 special forces raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, followed by March airstrikes on Ecuadorian cartels and the Americas Counter Cartel Conference urging regional militaries to lead anti-narcotics efforts, have not escalated to boots-on-the-ground warfare amid international condemnation and domestic focus on fiscal constraints. Recent rhetoric from Cuban leaders on potential U.S. threats has stirred speculation, but no verified mobilization signals broader intervention, prioritizing precision strikes, sanctions, and alliances over invasion risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$208,668 거래량
$208,668 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$208,668 거래량
$208,668 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus implies a 77% probability against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the distinction between targeted military operations and large-scale occupations requiring congressional authorization and sustained troop deployments. The Trump administration's January 3 special forces raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, followed by March airstrikes on Ecuadorian cartels and the Americas Counter Cartel Conference urging regional militaries to lead anti-narcotics efforts, have not escalated to boots-on-the-ground warfare amid international condemnation and domestic focus on fiscal constraints. Recent rhetoric from Cuban leaders on potential U.S. threats has stirred speculation, but no verified mobilization signals broader intervention, prioritizing precision strikes, sanctions, and alliances over invasion risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
거래량
$208,668종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus implies a 77% probability against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the distinction between targeted military operations and large-scale occupations requiring congressional authorization and sustained troop deployments. The Trump administration's January 3 special forces raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, followed by March airstrikes on Ecuadorian cartels and the Americas Counter Cartel Conference urging regional militaries to lead anti-narcotics efforts, have not escalated to boots-on-the-ground warfare amid international condemnation and domestic focus on fiscal constraints. Recent rhetoric from Cuban leaders on potential U.S. threats has stirred speculation, but no verified mobilization signals broader intervention, prioritizing precision strikes, sanctions, and alliances over invasion risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$208,668종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 77% probability against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the distinction between targeted military operations and large-scale occupations requiring congressional authorization and sustained troop deployments. The Trump administration's January 3 special forces raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, followed by March airstrikes on Ecuadorian cartels and the Americas Counter Cartel Conference urging regional militaries to lead anti-narcotics efforts, have not escalated to boots-on-the-ground warfare amid international condemnation and domestic focus on fiscal constraints. Recent rhetoric from Cuban leaders on potential U.S. threats has stirred speculation, but no verified mobilization signals broader intervention, prioritizing precision strikes, sanctions, and alliances over invasion risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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