**Trader sentiment strongly favors "No" at 94% implied probability** for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent official announcement of his meticulously planned transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to the Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium as part of a western lowland gorilla breeding program. Zoo New England emphasized months of careful coordination with AZA-accredited facilities, including enhanced security protocols during the move and integration into a new troop, which has shaped the market’s low assessment of repeat breakout risk. Little Joe’s sole documented escape occurred more than two decades ago in 2003, and current industry standards for primate transport and habitat design make a successful repeat far less likely. Traders note realistic upset scenarios during the physical relocation or initial adjustment period in Pittsburgh, though these remain viewed as low-probability tail events given the professional oversight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트리틀 조가 다시 탈출할까요?
리틀 조가 다시 탈출할까요?
예
신규
신규
2026.07.31
예
신규
신규
2026.07.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.**Trader sentiment strongly favors "No" at 94% implied probability** for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent official announcement of his meticulously planned transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to the Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium as part of a western lowland gorilla breeding program. Zoo New England emphasized months of careful coordination with AZA-accredited facilities, including enhanced security protocols during the move and integration into a new troop, which has shaped the market’s low assessment of repeat breakout risk. Little Joe’s sole documented escape occurred more than two decades ago in 2003, and current industry standards for primate transport and habitat design make a successful repeat far less likely. Traders note realistic upset scenarios during the physical relocation or initial adjustment period in Pittsburgh, though these remain viewed as low-probability tail events given the professional oversight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$1,247종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.**Trader sentiment strongly favors "No" at 94% implied probability** for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent official announcement of his meticulously planned transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to the Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium as part of a western lowland gorilla breeding program. Zoo New England emphasized months of careful coordination with AZA-accredited facilities, including enhanced security protocols during the move and integration into a new troop, which has shaped the market’s low assessment of repeat breakout risk. Little Joe’s sole documented escape occurred more than two decades ago in 2003, and current industry standards for primate transport and habitat design make a successful repeat far less likely. Traders note realistic upset scenarios during the physical relocation or initial adjustment period in Pittsburgh, though these remain viewed as low-probability tail events given the professional oversight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
거래량
$1,247종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment strongly favors "No" at 94% implied probability** for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent official announcement of his meticulously planned transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to the Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium as part of a western lowland gorilla breeding program. Zoo New England emphasized months of careful coordination with AZA-accredited facilities, including enhanced security protocols during the move and integration into a new troop, which has shaped the market’s low assessment of repeat breakout risk. Little Joe’s sole documented escape occurred more than two decades ago in 2003, and current industry standards for primate transport and habitat design make a successful repeat far less likely. Traders note realistic upset scenarios during the physical relocation or initial adjustment period in Pittsburgh, though these remain viewed as low-probability tail events given the professional oversight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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