Market icon

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Dan

<1% chance
Polymarket

$6,947,262 Vol.

The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania.

This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan.

Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/).

If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.
볼륨
$6,947,262
종료일
May 18, 2025
생성일
May 12, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania. This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election. This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan. Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/). If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.

제안된 결과: Simion

이의 제기됨

제안된 결과: Simion

이의 없음

최종 결과: Simion

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" has generated $6.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" is "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Dan

<1% chance
Polymarket

$6,947,262 Vol.

The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania.

This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan.

Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/).

If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.
볼륨
$6,947,262
종료일
May 18, 2025
생성일
May 12, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania. This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election. This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan. Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/). If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.

제안된 결과: Simion

이의 제기됨

제안된 결과: Simion

이의 없음

최종 결과: Simion

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" has generated $6.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" is "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.