The near-certain trader consensus on no hurricane forming by May 31 stems from the complete absence of tropical cyclone activity or organized disturbances across the Atlantic basin, as confirmed by the National Hurricane Center’s latest Tropical Weather Outlook stating formation is not expected in the next seven days. Official Atlantic season onset on June 1 aligns with climatological norms, where pre-June hurricanes remain exceptionally rare due to cooler sea surface temperatures, stronger wind shear, and unfavorable steering patterns. NOAA’s recent seasonal forecast reinforces subdued early activity amid a developing El Niño influence. With only days remaining before resolution, any shift would require an unprecedented rapid intensification event unsupported by current model consensus or observational data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$51,669 거래량
$51,669 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$51,669 거래량
$51,669 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The near-certain trader consensus on no hurricane forming by May 31 stems from the complete absence of tropical cyclone activity or organized disturbances across the Atlantic basin, as confirmed by the National Hurricane Center’s latest Tropical Weather Outlook stating formation is not expected in the next seven days. Official Atlantic season onset on June 1 aligns with climatological norms, where pre-June hurricanes remain exceptionally rare due to cooler sea surface temperatures, stronger wind shear, and unfavorable steering patterns. NOAA’s recent seasonal forecast reinforces subdued early activity amid a developing El Niño influence. With only days remaining before resolution, any shift would require an unprecedented rapid intensification event unsupported by current model consensus or observational data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
거래량
$51,669종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The near-certain trader consensus on no hurricane forming by May 31 stems from the complete absence of tropical cyclone activity or organized disturbances across the Atlantic basin, as confirmed by the National Hurricane Center’s latest Tropical Weather Outlook stating formation is not expected in the next seven days. Official Atlantic season onset on June 1 aligns with climatological norms, where pre-June hurricanes remain exceptionally rare due to cooler sea surface temperatures, stronger wind shear, and unfavorable steering patterns. NOAA’s recent seasonal forecast reinforces subdued early activity amid a developing El Niño influence. With only days remaining before resolution, any shift would require an unprecedented rapid intensification event unsupported by current model consensus or observational data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
거래량
$51,669종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus on no hurricane forming by May 31 stems from the complete absence of tropical cyclone activity or organized disturbances across the Atlantic basin, as confirmed by the National Hurricane Center’s latest Tropical Weather Outlook stating formation is not expected in the next seven days. Official Atlantic season onset on June 1 aligns with climatological norms, where pre-June hurricanes remain exceptionally rare due to cooler sea surface temperatures, stronger wind shear, and unfavorable steering patterns. NOAA’s recent seasonal forecast reinforces subdued early activity amid a developing El Niño influence. With only days remaining before resolution, any shift would require an unprecedented rapid intensification event unsupported by current model consensus or observational data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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