The near-certainty of no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31 stems primarily from the complete absence of tropical disturbances across the basin, with National Hurricane Center outlooks explicitly stating zero formation risk through the next seven days amid typical late-May atmospheric conditions including elevated wind shear and drier mid-level air. Official NOAA seasonal guidance released May 21 reinforces this, projecting a below-normal year influenced by developing El Niño suppression despite slightly warmer sea surface temperatures. Historically, the first hurricane forms in late June on average, and recent seasons have shown no pre-June 1 activity. While an unforeseen rapid intensification of a new wave remains theoretically possible before month-end, current model consensus and observational data make such an outcome highly improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$51,664 거래량
$51,664 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$51,664 거래량
$51,664 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The near-certainty of no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31 stems primarily from the complete absence of tropical disturbances across the basin, with National Hurricane Center outlooks explicitly stating zero formation risk through the next seven days amid typical late-May atmospheric conditions including elevated wind shear and drier mid-level air. Official NOAA seasonal guidance released May 21 reinforces this, projecting a below-normal year influenced by developing El Niño suppression despite slightly warmer sea surface temperatures. Historically, the first hurricane forms in late June on average, and recent seasons have shown no pre-June 1 activity. While an unforeseen rapid intensification of a new wave remains theoretically possible before month-end, current model consensus and observational data make such an outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
거래량
$51,664종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The near-certainty of no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31 stems primarily from the complete absence of tropical disturbances across the basin, with National Hurricane Center outlooks explicitly stating zero formation risk through the next seven days amid typical late-May atmospheric conditions including elevated wind shear and drier mid-level air. Official NOAA seasonal guidance released May 21 reinforces this, projecting a below-normal year influenced by developing El Niño suppression despite slightly warmer sea surface temperatures. Historically, the first hurricane forms in late June on average, and recent seasons have shown no pre-June 1 activity. While an unforeseen rapid intensification of a new wave remains theoretically possible before month-end, current model consensus and observational data make such an outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
거래량
$51,664종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certainty of no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31 stems primarily from the complete absence of tropical disturbances across the basin, with National Hurricane Center outlooks explicitly stating zero formation risk through the next seven days amid typical late-May atmospheric conditions including elevated wind shear and drier mid-level air. Official NOAA seasonal guidance released May 21 reinforces this, projecting a below-normal year influenced by developing El Niño suppression despite slightly warmer sea surface temperatures. Historically, the first hurricane forms in late June on average, and recent seasons have shown no pre-June 1 activity. While an unforeseen rapid intensification of a new wave remains theoretically possible before month-end, current model consensus and observational data make such an outcome highly improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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