US military tensions with Cuba have escalated in 2026 amid President Trump's public statements positioning the island as a potential target following the January capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro, combined with executive orders declaring a national emergency, imposing sanctions on oil suppliers, and halting related imports. Key recent developments include the May 20 indictment of former Cuban President Raúl Castro, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group and additional naval assets to the Caribbean in May, heightened US surveillance flights, and a May 29 meeting between the head of US Southern Command and Cuban military officials near Guantanamo Bay. Cuban officials have warned of a potential "bloodbath" and described the moves as pretexts for intervention, while US sources indicate military options remain available though no imminent action is planned. These elements, alongside stalled negotiations, shape assessments of whether force occurs by a given deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$5,018,498 거래량
2026.12.31
12월 31일
49%
$5,018,498 거래량
12월 31일
$2,841,366 거래량
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US military tensions with Cuba have escalated in 2026 amid President Trump's public statements positioning the island as a potential target following the January capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro, combined with executive orders declaring a national emergency, imposing sanctions on oil suppliers, and halting related imports. Key recent developments include the May 20 indictment of former Cuban President Raúl Castro, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group and additional naval assets to the Caribbean in May, heightened US surveillance flights, and a May 29 meeting between the head of US Southern Command and Cuban military officials near Guantanamo Bay. Cuban officials have warned of a potential "bloodbath" and described the moves as pretexts for intervention, while US sources indicate military options remain available though no imminent action is planned. These elements, alongside stalled negotiations, shape assessments of whether force occurs by a given deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
거래량
$5,018,498종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US military tensions with Cuba have escalated in 2026 amid President Trump's public statements positioning the island as a potential target following the January capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro, combined with executive orders declaring a national emergency, imposing sanctions on oil suppliers, and halting related imports. Key recent developments include the May 20 indictment of former Cuban President Raúl Castro, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group and additional naval assets to the Caribbean in May, heightened US surveillance flights, and a May 29 meeting between the head of US Southern Command and Cuban military officials near Guantanamo Bay. Cuban officials have warned of a potential "bloodbath" and described the moves as pretexts for intervention, while US sources indicate military options remain available though no imminent action is planned. These elements, alongside stalled negotiations, shape assessments of whether force occurs by a given deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
거래량
$5,018,498종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military tensions with Cuba have escalated in 2026 amid President Trump's public statements positioning the island as a potential target following the January capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro, combined with executive orders declaring a national emergency, imposing sanctions on oil suppliers, and halting related imports. Key recent developments include the May 20 indictment of former Cuban President Raúl Castro, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group and additional naval assets to the Caribbean in May, heightened US surveillance flights, and a May 29 meeting between the head of US Southern Command and Cuban military officials near Guantanamo Bay. Cuban officials have warned of a potential "bloodbath" and described the moves as pretexts for intervention, while US sources indicate military options remain available though no imminent action is planned. These elements, alongside stalled negotiations, shape assessments of whether force occurs by a given deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문