U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?
$153,922 Vol.
$153,922 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024.
An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.
A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024.
An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.
A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.
A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
생성일: Oct 15, 2024, 1:54 PM ET
볼륨
$153,922종료일
Dec 31, 2024생성일
Oct 15, 2024, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?
$153,922 Vol.
$153,922 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024.
An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.
A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024.
An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.
A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.
A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$153,922종료일
Dec 31, 2024생성일
Oct 15, 2024, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?" has generated $153.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions