Tesla (TSLA) shares closed April 24, 2026, at $376, with Polymarket traders pricing a flat probability distribution across $350–$395 bins at roughly 50% implied odds each, reflecting high short-term uncertainty ahead of the April 27 week-end close. Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 beat EPS estimates at $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, but revenue disappointed amid slumping EV demand—evidenced by 50,000-unit inventory buildup, 24% California registration drop, and 50–90% sales declines in key markets like Germany and Norway—offset by surging $25 billion+ capex for AI, robotics, and autonomy. Delays in unsupervised FSD v15 scale-up to late 2026 eroded bullish momentum, capping post-earnings gains despite analyst consensus price targets near $400. Key swing factors include technical support at $370, resistance at $390, and any Elon Musk updates, as trader sentiment hinges on AI optionalities versus automotive weakness.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트>$395 23%
<$350 21%
$375-$380 13%
$355-$360 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.01
<$350
21%
$350-$355
10%
$355-$360
11%
$360-$365
8%
$365-$370
9%
$370-$375
10%
$375-$380
13%
$380-$385
9%
$385-$390
8%
$390-$395
11%
>$395
23%
>$395 23%
<$350 21%
$375-$380 13%
$355-$360 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.01
<$350
$0 거래량
21%
$350-$355
$0 거래량
10%
$355-$360
$0 거래량
11%
$360-$365
$0 거래량
8%
$365-$370
$0 거래량
9%
$370-$375
$0 거래량
10%
$375-$380
$0 거래량
13%
$380-$385
$0 거래량
9%
$385-$390
$0 거래량
8%
$390-$395
$0 거래량
11%
>$395
$0 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares closed April 24, 2026, at $376, with Polymarket traders pricing a flat probability distribution across $350–$395 bins at roughly 50% implied odds each, reflecting high short-term uncertainty ahead of the April 27 week-end close. Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 beat EPS estimates at $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, but revenue disappointed amid slumping EV demand—evidenced by 50,000-unit inventory buildup, 24% California registration drop, and 50–90% sales declines in key markets like Germany and Norway—offset by surging $25 billion+ capex for AI, robotics, and autonomy. Delays in unsupervised FSD v15 scale-up to late 2026 eroded bullish momentum, capping post-earnings gains despite analyst consensus price targets near $400. Key swing factors include technical support at $370, resistance at $390, and any Elon Musk updates, as trader sentiment hinges on AI optionalities versus automotive weakness.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares closed April 24, 2026, at $376, with Polymarket traders pricing a flat probability distribution across $350–$395 bins at roughly 50% implied odds each, reflecting high short-term uncertainty ahead of the April 27 week-end close. Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 beat EPS estimates at $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, but revenue disappointed amid slumping EV demand—evidenced by 50,000-unit inventory buildup, 24% California registration drop, and 50–90% sales declines in key markets like Germany and Norway—offset by surging $25 billion+ capex for AI, robotics, and autonomy. Delays in unsupervised FSD v15 scale-up to late 2026 eroded bullish momentum, capping post-earnings gains despite analyst consensus price targets near $400. Key swing factors include technical support at $370, resistance at $390, and any Elon Musk updates, as trader sentiment hinges on AI optionalities versus automotive weakness.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$0종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ETTesla (TSLA) shares closed April 24, 2026, at $376, with Polymarket traders pricing a flat probability distribution across $350–$395 bins at roughly 50% implied odds each, reflecting high short-term uncertainty ahead of the April 27 week-end close. Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 beat EPS estimates at $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, but revenue disappointed amid slumping EV demand—evidenced by 50,000-unit inventory buildup, 24% California registration drop, and 50–90% sales declines in key markets like Germany and Norway—offset by surging $25 billion+ capex for AI, robotics, and autonomy. Delays in unsupervised FSD v15 scale-up to late 2026 eroded bullish momentum, capping post-earnings gains despite analyst consensus price targets near $400. Key swing factors include technical support at $370, resistance at $390, and any Elon Musk updates, as trader sentiment hinges on AI optionalities versus automotive weakness.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문