Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$360-$365 100.0%
<$360 <1%
$365-$370 <1%
$370-$375 <1%
$33,823 거래량
$33,823 거래량
2026.03.27
<$360
No
$360-$365
Yes
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
>$405
No
$360-$365 100.0%
<$360 <1%
$365-$370 <1%
$370-$375 <1%
$33,823 거래량
$33,823 거래량
2026.03.27
<$360
$1,500 거래량
No
$360-$365
$7,032 거래량
Yes
$365-$370
$2,832 거래량
No
$370-$375
$1,493 거래량
No
$375-$380
$7,818 거래량
No
$380-$385
$7,042 거래량
No
$385-$390
$791 거래량
No
$390-$395
$720 거래량
No
$395-$400
$1,144 거래량
No
$400-$405
$1,097 거래량
No
>$405
$2,355 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
거래량
$33,823종료일
2026.03.27마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$33,823종료일
2026.03.27마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문