Tennessee's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by the state's voting patterns since the early 1990s, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 95.3% implied probability over the Democratic nominee at 2.5%. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty holds structural advantages through name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with state voter preferences ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an exceptionally competitive Democratic nominee emerging from the primary, a pronounced national midterm wave favoring the opposition, or late developments such as candidate health concerns or significant legal matters affecting the campaign environment before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,673 거래량
$19,673 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
2%
$19,673 거래량
$19,673 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,651 거래량
95%
민주당
$9,022 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by the state's voting patterns since the early 1990s, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 95.3% implied probability over the Democratic nominee at 2.5%. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty holds structural advantages through name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with state voter preferences ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an exceptionally competitive Democratic nominee emerging from the primary, a pronounced national midterm wave favoring the opposition, or late developments such as candidate health concerns or significant legal matters affecting the campaign environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$19,673종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by the state's voting patterns since the early 1990s, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 95.3% implied probability over the Democratic nominee at 2.5%. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty holds structural advantages through name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with state voter preferences ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an exceptionally competitive Democratic nominee emerging from the primary, a pronounced national midterm wave favoring the opposition, or late developments such as candidate health concerns or significant legal matters affecting the campaign environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$19,673종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by the state's voting patterns since the early 1990s, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 95.3% implied probability over the Democratic nominee at 2.5%. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty holds structural advantages through name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with state voter preferences ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an exceptionally competitive Democratic nominee emerging from the primary, a pronounced national midterm wave favoring the opposition, or late developments such as candidate health concerns or significant legal matters affecting the campaign environment before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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