Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains firmly in Republican hands ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position in trader assessments. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty faces a Republican primary on August 6 before the general contest, while multiple Democrats are competing in their primary without evidence of a unified or well-funded challenge capable of overcoming the state's consistent R+14 partisan lean. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with no Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1990 and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle developments such as health issues or scandals affecting the leading candidate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,673 거래량
$19,673 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
3%
$19,673 거래량
$19,673 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,651 거래량
95%
민주당
$9,022 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains firmly in Republican hands ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position in trader assessments. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty faces a Republican primary on August 6 before the general contest, while multiple Democrats are competing in their primary without evidence of a unified or well-funded challenge capable of overcoming the state's consistent R+14 partisan lean. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with no Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1990 and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle developments such as health issues or scandals affecting the leading candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$19,673종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains firmly in Republican hands ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position in trader assessments. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty faces a Republican primary on August 6 before the general contest, while multiple Democrats are competing in their primary without evidence of a unified or well-funded challenge capable of overcoming the state's consistent R+14 partisan lean. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with no Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1990 and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle developments such as health issues or scandals affecting the leading candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$19,673종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains firmly in Republican hands ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position in trader assessments. Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty faces a Republican primary on August 6 before the general contest, while multiple Democrats are competing in their primary without evidence of a unified or well-funded challenge capable of overcoming the state's consistent R+14 partisan lean. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with no Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1990 and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle developments such as health issues or scandals affecting the leading candidate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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