Skip to main content
Market icon
정치·영국

스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자

Market icon
정치·영국

스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자

스코틀랜드 국민당 97.0%

리폼 UK 1.0%

스코틀랜드 보수당 <1%

스코틀랜드 자유민주당 <1%

Polymarket

$1,631,654 거래량

스코틀랜드 국민당 97.0%

리폼 UK 1.0%

스코틀랜드 보수당 <1%

스코틀랜드 자유민주당 <1%

Polymarket

$1,631,654 거래량

스코틀랜드 국민당

$1,311,524 거래량

97%

리폼 UK

$85,483 거래량

1%

스코틀랜드 보수당

$10,192 거래량

<1%

스코틀랜드 자유민주당

$108,926 거래량

<1%

스코틀랜드 노동당

$45,935 거래량

<1%

주권당

$7,246 거래량

<1%

스코틀랜드 녹색당

$42,345 거래량

<1%

알바당

$20,002 거래량

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).Scottish National Party traders command a 97% implied probability as the winner—defined as the largest party by seats in the May 7 Holyrood election—following multiple MRP polls projecting an overall majority of 63-67 MSPs. This reflects SNP's rebound from the 2024 UK general election slump, with consistent constituency voting intention leads of 13-20 points over Reform UK (projected second at 20 seats) and a collapsing Scottish Labour (15 seats). Recent YouGov/Sky and Electoral Calculus surveys from early April underscore SNP momentum under First Minister John Swinney amid voter focus on public services and independence. While Reform gains as official opposition, a commanding SNP position persists; late scandals, leadership gaffes, or unexpected turnout shifts in swing constituencies could challenge this, though polls show stability.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
거래량
$1,631,654
종료일
2026.05.07
마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).Scottish National Party traders command a 97% implied probability as the winner—defined as the largest party by seats in the May 7 Holyrood election—following multiple MRP polls projecting an overall majority of 63-67 MSPs. This reflects SNP's rebound from the 2024 UK general election slump, with consistent constituency voting intention leads of 13-20 points over Reform UK (projected second at 20 seats) and a collapsing Scottish Labour (15 seats). Recent YouGov/Sky and Electoral Calculus surveys from early April underscore SNP momentum under First Minister John Swinney amid voter focus on public services and independence. While Reform gains as official opposition, a commanding SNP position persists; late scandals, leadership gaffes, or unexpected turnout shifts in swing constituencies could challenge this, though polls show stability.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
거래량
$1,631,654
종료일
2026.05.07
마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자"은 8개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 97%의 "스코틀랜드 국민당"이며, 이어서 1%의 "리폼 UK"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 97¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 97%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자"은 총 $1.6 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 13, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 8개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자"의 현재 유력 후보는 97%의 "스코틀랜드 국민당"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 97%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 1%의 "리폼 UK"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"스코틀랜드 국회의원 선거 승리자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.