**Low accumulated rainfall through mid-April drives trader consensus toward under 130mm at 37%, reflecting drier-than-normal conditions at the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season.** Hong Kong Observatory data shows just 60mm recorded up to April 16, primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5, leaving the city in a dry spell despite historical April averages near 140-150mm. Forecasts from the Observatory predict normal to above-normal precipitation for the month overall, with showers expected through late April including a nine-day rainy period to April 26, yet models imply insufficient totals—needing only about 70mm more for under 130mm versus 130+mm for higher brackets—to shift the balance significantly. Elevated odds on 190mm+ at 24% capture tail risks from potential troughs or tropical activity in the remaining 14 days, underscoring uncertainty in seasonal patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월에 홍콩에 강수량이 있나요?
4월에 홍콩에 강수량이 있나요?
130mm 미만 27%
190mm+ 26%
140-150mm 22.4%
150-160mm 16%
$31,532 거래량
$31,532 거래량
2026.04.30
130mm 미만
27%
130-140mm
16%
140-150mm
22%
150-160mm
21%
160-170mm
7%
190-200mm
10%
180-190
11%
190mm+
19%
130mm 미만 27%
190mm+ 26%
140-150mm 22.4%
150-160mm 16%
$31,532 거래량
$31,532 거래량
2026.04.30
130mm 미만
$14,417 거래량
27%
130-140mm
$5,384 거래량
16%
140-150mm
$5,966 거래량
22%
150-160mm
$3,445 거래량
21%
160-170mm
$427 거래량
7%
190-200mm
$375 거래량
10%
180-190
$441 거래량
11%
190mm+
$1,076 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Low accumulated rainfall through mid-April drives trader consensus toward under 130mm at 37%, reflecting drier-than-normal conditions at the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season.** Hong Kong Observatory data shows just 60mm recorded up to April 16, primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5, leaving the city in a dry spell despite historical April averages near 140-150mm. Forecasts from the Observatory predict normal to above-normal precipitation for the month overall, with showers expected through late April including a nine-day rainy period to April 26, yet models imply insufficient totals—needing only about 70mm more for under 130mm versus 130+mm for higher brackets—to shift the balance significantly. Elevated odds on 190mm+ at 24% capture tail risks from potential troughs or tropical activity in the remaining 14 days, underscoring uncertainty in seasonal patterns.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
거래량
$31,532종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Low accumulated rainfall through mid-April drives trader consensus toward under 130mm at 37%, reflecting drier-than-normal conditions at the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season.** Hong Kong Observatory data shows just 60mm recorded up to April 16, primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5, leaving the city in a dry spell despite historical April averages near 140-150mm. Forecasts from the Observatory predict normal to above-normal precipitation for the month overall, with showers expected through late April including a nine-day rainy period to April 26, yet models imply insufficient totals—needing only about 70mm more for under 130mm versus 130+mm for higher brackets—to shift the balance significantly. Elevated odds on 190mm+ at 24% capture tail risks from potential troughs or tropical activity in the remaining 14 days, underscoring uncertainty in seasonal patterns.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$31,532종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Low accumulated rainfall through mid-April drives trader consensus toward under 130mm at 37%, reflecting drier-than-normal conditions at the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season.** Hong Kong Observatory data shows just 60mm recorded up to April 16, primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5, leaving the city in a dry spell despite historical April averages near 140-150mm. Forecasts from the Observatory predict normal to above-normal precipitation for the month overall, with showers expected through late April including a nine-day rainy period to April 26, yet models imply insufficient totals—needing only about 70mm more for under 130mm versus 130+mm for higher brackets—to shift the balance significantly. Elevated odds on 190mm+ at 24% capture tail risks from potential troughs or tropical activity in the remaining 14 days, underscoring uncertainty in seasonal patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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