Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$550,114 거래량
$550,114 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$550,114 거래량
$550,114 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$550,114종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
거래량
$550,114종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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