Microsoft shares closed at $418.57 on May 22, 2026, near the middle of recent trading ranges following the April 29 fiscal Q3 beat on revenue and Azure growth. With next-quarter results not due until late July, the closely matched 44.5% probabilities on the $390–$400 and $430–$440 bins reflect balanced trader views on potential weekly volatility driven by AI capital-expenditure commentary, sector rotation, and broader equity sentiment. Recent Surface product updates and partnership developments have provided modest support, yet elevated spending guidance continues to weigh on near-term margin expectations. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent ranges underscores the market-implied odds of a modest directional move by week-end without a dominant catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$390-$400 44%
$430-$440 43%
>$460 43%
$370-$380 42%
신규
신규
2026.05.29
<$370
31%
$370-$380
42%
$380-$390
14%
$390-$400
44%
$400-$410
38%
$410-$420
41%
$420-$430
38%
$430-$440
43%
$440-$450
42%
$450-$460
14%
>$460
43%
$390-$400 44%
$430-$440 43%
>$460 43%
$370-$380 42%
신규
신규
2026.05.29
<$370
$7 거래량
31%
$370-$380
$0 거래량
42%
$380-$390
$0 거래량
14%
$390-$400
$0 거래량
44%
$400-$410
$0 거래량
38%
$410-$420
$0 거래량
41%
$420-$430
$0 거래량
38%
$430-$440
$0 거래량
43%
$440-$450
$0 거래량
42%
$450-$460
$0 거래량
14%
>$460
$3 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares closed at $418.57 on May 22, 2026, near the middle of recent trading ranges following the April 29 fiscal Q3 beat on revenue and Azure growth. With next-quarter results not due until late July, the closely matched 44.5% probabilities on the $390–$400 and $430–$440 bins reflect balanced trader views on potential weekly volatility driven by AI capital-expenditure commentary, sector rotation, and broader equity sentiment. Recent Surface product updates and partnership developments have provided modest support, yet elevated spending guidance continues to weigh on near-term margin expectations. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent ranges underscores the market-implied odds of a modest directional move by week-end without a dominant catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: May 22, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
거래량
$10종료일
2026.05.29마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares closed at $418.57 on May 22, 2026, near the middle of recent trading ranges following the April 29 fiscal Q3 beat on revenue and Azure growth. With next-quarter results not due until late July, the closely matched 44.5% probabilities on the $390–$400 and $430–$440 bins reflect balanced trader views on potential weekly volatility driven by AI capital-expenditure commentary, sector rotation, and broader equity sentiment. Recent Surface product updates and partnership developments have provided modest support, yet elevated spending guidance continues to weigh on near-term margin expectations. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent ranges underscores the market-implied odds of a modest directional move by week-end without a dominant catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$10종료일
2026.05.29마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 6:01 PM ETMicrosoft shares closed at $418.57 on May 22, 2026, near the middle of recent trading ranges following the April 29 fiscal Q3 beat on revenue and Azure growth. With next-quarter results not due until late July, the closely matched 44.5% probabilities on the $390–$400 and $430–$440 bins reflect balanced trader views on potential weekly volatility driven by AI capital-expenditure commentary, sector rotation, and broader equity sentiment. Recent Surface product updates and partnership developments have provided modest support, yet elevated spending guidance continues to weigh on near-term margin expectations. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent ranges underscores the market-implied odds of a modest directional move by week-end without a dominant catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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