Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트"마이클" 세컨드 위켄드 박스오피스
"마이클" 세컨드 위켄드 박스오피스
5천만~5천5백만 100.0%
<3,500만 달러 <1%
3,500만~4,000만 달러 <1%
4,000만~4,500만 <1%
$169,020 거래량
$169,020 거래량
2026.05.04
<3,500만 달러
아니오
3,500만~4,000만 달러
아니오
4,000만~4,500만
아니오
4,500만~5,000만 달러
아니오
5천만~5천5백만
예
>5,500만 달러
아니오
5천만~5천5백만 100.0%
<3,500만 달러 <1%
3,500만~4,000만 달러 <1%
4,000만~4,500만 <1%
$169,020 거래량
$169,020 거래량
2026.05.04
<3,500만 달러
$14,977 거래량
아니오
3,500만~4,000만 달러
$21,215 거래량
아니오
4,000만~4,500만
$9,114 거래량
아니오
4,500만~5,000만 달러
$15,434 거래량
아니오
5천만~5천5백만
$51,295 거래량
예
>5,500만 달러
$56,984 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
거래량
$169,020종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$169,020종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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