President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests in Minnesota following violent ICE enforcement operations that killed a civilian in January 2026. These threats center on claims that state officials failed to protect federal agents during immigration raids, allowing traders to price in elevated odds of presidential action under the statute's broad authority to deploy troops domestically. Congress has considered reform legislation to limit such powers, while the Supreme Court has blocked related National Guard deployments in other states. No invocation has occurred through mid-May 2026, leaving the outcome tied to continued border security operations, protest intensity, and any new executive directives within the resolution window.