Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by a 17.9% energy price surge amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth, these conditions have produced low recession risks and limited scope for unscheduled intermeeting easing, supporting the market-implied 88.5% probability of no emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight caution over persistent price pressures, while the June 16-17 meeting and updated dot plot, alongside May and June inflation and employment releases, remain key near-term catalysts that could test the data-dependent policy stance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$105,255 거래량
$105,255 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$105,255 거래량
$105,255 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by a 17.9% energy price surge amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth, these conditions have produced low recession risks and limited scope for unscheduled intermeeting easing, supporting the market-implied 88.5% probability of no emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight caution over persistent price pressures, while the June 16-17 meeting and updated dot plot, alongside May and June inflation and employment releases, remain key near-term catalysts that could test the data-dependent policy stance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$105,255종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by a 17.9% energy price surge amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth, these conditions have produced low recession risks and limited scope for unscheduled intermeeting easing, supporting the market-implied 88.5% probability of no emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight caution over persistent price pressures, while the June 16-17 meeting and updated dot plot, alongside May and June inflation and employment releases, remain key near-term catalysts that could test the data-dependent policy stance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$105,255종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by a 17.9% energy price surge amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth, these conditions have produced low recession risks and limited scope for unscheduled intermeeting easing, supporting the market-implied 88.5% probability of no emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight caution over persistent price pressures, while the June 16-17 meeting and updated dot plot, alongside May and June inflation and employment releases, remain key near-term catalysts that could test the data-dependent policy stance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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