Traders assign an 88.5% probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through April 2026 amid sticky inflation driven by elevated energy prices from geopolitical shocks. Recent data show resilient labor markets and consumer demand, with the April meeting featuring the highest dissent since 1992 as officials prioritized inflation risks over growth concerns. Futures markets price limited or zero cuts for the remainder of 2026, reflecting a restrictive policy stance that aligns with official guidance. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce this outlook unless a sharp downturn materializes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$105,255 거래량
$105,255 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$105,255 거래량
$105,255 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign an 88.5% probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through April 2026 amid sticky inflation driven by elevated energy prices from geopolitical shocks. Recent data show resilient labor markets and consumer demand, with the April meeting featuring the highest dissent since 1992 as officials prioritized inflation risks over growth concerns. Futures markets price limited or zero cuts for the remainder of 2026, reflecting a restrictive policy stance that aligns with official guidance. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce this outlook unless a sharp downturn materializes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$105,255종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign an 88.5% probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through April 2026 amid sticky inflation driven by elevated energy prices from geopolitical shocks. Recent data show resilient labor markets and consumer demand, with the April meeting featuring the highest dissent since 1992 as officials prioritized inflation risks over growth concerns. Futures markets price limited or zero cuts for the remainder of 2026, reflecting a restrictive policy stance that aligns with official guidance. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce this outlook unless a sharp downturn materializes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$105,255종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 88.5% probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through April 2026 amid sticky inflation driven by elevated energy prices from geopolitical shocks. Recent data show resilient labor markets and consumer demand, with the April meeting featuring the highest dissent since 1992 as officials prioritized inflation risks over growth concerns. Futures markets price limited or zero cuts for the remainder of 2026, reflecting a restrictive policy stance that aligns with official guidance. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce this outlook unless a sharp downturn materializes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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