Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI readings near 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable 4.3% unemployment rate and resilient payroll gains, have kept the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Major brokerages now project no policy easing through 2026 and potential first adjustments only in 2027, reflecting the absence of acute recessionary or financial stability risks that historically prompt unscheduled inter-meeting cuts. Trader consensus at 88.5% for no emergency rate cut before 2027 aligns with this data-driven outlook, where the Fed prioritizes its dual mandate amid cautious guidance. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and June inflation releases, which could test these dynamics if labor conditions weaken sharply.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$105,330 거래량
$105,330 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$105,330 거래량
$105,330 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI readings near 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable 4.3% unemployment rate and resilient payroll gains, have kept the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Major brokerages now project no policy easing through 2026 and potential first adjustments only in 2027, reflecting the absence of acute recessionary or financial stability risks that historically prompt unscheduled inter-meeting cuts. Trader consensus at 88.5% for no emergency rate cut before 2027 aligns with this data-driven outlook, where the Fed prioritizes its dual mandate amid cautious guidance. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and June inflation releases, which could test these dynamics if labor conditions weaken sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$105,330종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI readings near 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable 4.3% unemployment rate and resilient payroll gains, have kept the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Major brokerages now project no policy easing through 2026 and potential first adjustments only in 2027, reflecting the absence of acute recessionary or financial stability risks that historically prompt unscheduled inter-meeting cuts. Trader consensus at 88.5% for no emergency rate cut before 2027 aligns with this data-driven outlook, where the Fed prioritizes its dual mandate amid cautious guidance. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and June inflation releases, which could test these dynamics if labor conditions weaken sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$105,330종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI readings near 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable 4.3% unemployment rate and resilient payroll gains, have kept the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Major brokerages now project no policy easing through 2026 and potential first adjustments only in 2027, reflecting the absence of acute recessionary or financial stability risks that historically prompt unscheduled inter-meeting cuts. Trader consensus at 88.5% for no emergency rate cut before 2027 aligns with this data-driven outlook, where the Fed prioritizes its dual mandate amid cautious guidance. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and June inflation releases, which could test these dynamics if labor conditions weaken sharply.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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