Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028, with no snap election called despite the main opposition CHP's April 1 call for early polls amid an ongoing crackdown on rivals, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of his departure by year-end. Jailed challengers like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, who leads Erdoğan by 16 points in February hypothetical runoff polls, face legal hurdles limiting their momentum, while unconfirmed February health rumors have not materialized into official developments. Recent diplomatic activity, including Erdoğan's April 8 endorsement of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, signals continued executive stability. Absent parliamentary no-confidence votes or major scandals, traders view structural barriers—AKP parliamentary control and institutional loyalty—as sustaining his tenure through 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$348,914 거래량
$348,914 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
예
$348,914 거래량
$348,914 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028, with no snap election called despite the main opposition CHP's April 1 call for early polls amid an ongoing crackdown on rivals, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of his departure by year-end. Jailed challengers like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, who leads Erdoğan by 16 points in February hypothetical runoff polls, face legal hurdles limiting their momentum, while unconfirmed February health rumors have not materialized into official developments. Recent diplomatic activity, including Erdoğan's April 8 endorsement of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, signals continued executive stability. Absent parliamentary no-confidence votes or major scandals, traders view structural barriers—AKP parliamentary control and institutional loyalty—as sustaining his tenure through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$348,914종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028, with no snap election called despite the main opposition CHP's April 1 call for early polls amid an ongoing crackdown on rivals, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of his departure by year-end. Jailed challengers like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, who leads Erdoğan by 16 points in February hypothetical runoff polls, face legal hurdles limiting their momentum, while unconfirmed February health rumors have not materialized into official developments. Recent diplomatic activity, including Erdoğan's April 8 endorsement of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, signals continued executive stability. Absent parliamentary no-confidence votes or major scandals, traders view structural barriers—AKP parliamentary control and institutional loyalty—as sustaining his tenure through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$348,914종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028, with no snap election called despite the main opposition CHP's April 1 call for early polls amid an ongoing crackdown on rivals, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of his departure by year-end. Jailed challengers like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, who leads Erdoğan by 16 points in February hypothetical runoff polls, face legal hurdles limiting their momentum, while unconfirmed February health rumors have not materialized into official developments. Recent diplomatic activity, including Erdoğan's April 8 endorsement of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, signals continued executive stability. Absent parliamentary no-confidence votes or major scandals, traders view structural barriers—AKP parliamentary control and institutional loyalty—as sustaining his tenure through 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문