Incumbent Democratic Senator John Hickenlooper’s reelection bid in the 2026 Colorado Senate race benefits from strong incumbency advantages and the state’s consistent Democratic lean in recent federal contests, driving trader consensus to assign Democrats a 91.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 30 primary against state Senator Julie Gonzales, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds. Limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory remain, though scenarios such as an unexpected primary result, significant national political shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,339 거래량
$35,339 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
9%
$35,339 거래량
$35,339 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,420 거래량
92%
공화당
$26,919 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator John Hickenlooper’s reelection bid in the 2026 Colorado Senate race benefits from strong incumbency advantages and the state’s consistent Democratic lean in recent federal contests, driving trader consensus to assign Democrats a 91.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 30 primary against state Senator Julie Gonzales, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds. Limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory remain, though scenarios such as an unexpected primary result, significant national political shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$35,339종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator John Hickenlooper’s reelection bid in the 2026 Colorado Senate race benefits from strong incumbency advantages and the state’s consistent Democratic lean in recent federal contests, driving trader consensus to assign Democrats a 91.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 30 primary against state Senator Julie Gonzales, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds. Limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory remain, though scenarios such as an unexpected primary result, significant national political shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$35,339종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator John Hickenlooper’s reelection bid in the 2026 Colorado Senate race benefits from strong incumbency advantages and the state’s consistent Democratic lean in recent federal contests, driving trader consensus to assign Democrats a 91.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 30 primary against state Senator Julie Gonzales, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds. Limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory remain, though scenarios such as an unexpected primary result, significant national political shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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