Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in the market's 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Colorado has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2016, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Hickenlooper leads his Democratic primary opponent Julie Gonzales in early polling ahead of the June 30 primary, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. These structural factors, including the state's partisan composition and historical voting patterns, underpin trader consensus. A Gonzales primary victory or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though both face substantial hurdles given current fundraising and polling trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,319 거래량
$35,319 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
9%
$35,319 거래량
$35,319 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,420 거래량
92%
공화당
$26,899 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in the market's 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Colorado has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2016, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Hickenlooper leads his Democratic primary opponent Julie Gonzales in early polling ahead of the June 30 primary, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. These structural factors, including the state's partisan composition and historical voting patterns, underpin trader consensus. A Gonzales primary victory or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though both face substantial hurdles given current fundraising and polling trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$35,319종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in the market's 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Colorado has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2016, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Hickenlooper leads his Democratic primary opponent Julie Gonzales in early polling ahead of the June 30 primary, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. These structural factors, including the state's partisan composition and historical voting patterns, underpin trader consensus. A Gonzales primary victory or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though both face substantial hurdles given current fundraising and polling trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$35,319종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in the market's 91.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Colorado has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2016, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Hickenlooper leads his Democratic primary opponent Julie Gonzales in early polling ahead of the June 30 primary, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. These structural factors, including the state's partisan composition and historical voting patterns, underpin trader consensus. A Gonzales primary victory or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though both face substantial hurdles given current fundraising and polling trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문