Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting the June contract's current trading level near $95 per barrel amid persistent US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz that have embedded a substantial geopolitical risk premium. Prices pulled back below triple digits last week on hopes of de-escalation but remain up nearly 78% year-to-date, bolstered by the latest EIA report showing a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory drawdown for the week ended May 1. OPEC+'s symbolic 188,000 barrels-per-day output hike announced May 3 offers limited relief against supply disruptions, with the next EIA release on May 13 poised to influence near-term positioning ahead of contract expiry.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트원유 (CL) 는 6월에 무엇을 정산할 예정인가요?
원유 (CL) 는 6월에 무엇을 정산할 예정인가요?
>$84 이상 62%
$77-$84 20%
$70~$77 6.8%
$63-$70 4.8%
$156,209 거래량
$156,209 거래량
2026.06.30
$42 미만
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
5%
$70~$77
7%
$77-$84
20%
>$84 이상
62%
>$84 이상 62%
$77-$84 20%
$70~$77 6.8%
$63-$70 4.8%
$156,209 거래량
$156,209 거래량
2026.06.30
$42 미만
$17,066 거래량
2%
$42-$49
$5,793 거래량
1%
$49-$56
$6,972 거래량
1%
$56-$63
$6,398 거래량
2%
$63-$70
$20,188 거래량
5%
$70~$77
$11,783 거래량
7%
$77-$84
$12,944 거래량
20%
>$84 이상
$75,064 거래량
62%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting the June contract's current trading level near $95 per barrel amid persistent US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz that have embedded a substantial geopolitical risk premium. Prices pulled back below triple digits last week on hopes of de-escalation but remain up nearly 78% year-to-date, bolstered by the latest EIA report showing a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory drawdown for the week ended May 1. OPEC+'s symbolic 188,000 barrels-per-day output hike announced May 3 offers limited relief against supply disruptions, with the next EIA release on May 13 poised to influence near-term positioning ahead of contract expiry.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
거래량
$156,209종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting the June contract's current trading level near $95 per barrel amid persistent US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz that have embedded a substantial geopolitical risk premium. Prices pulled back below triple digits last week on hopes of de-escalation but remain up nearly 78% year-to-date, bolstered by the latest EIA report showing a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory drawdown for the week ended May 1. OPEC+'s symbolic 188,000 barrels-per-day output hike announced May 3 offers limited relief against supply disruptions, with the next EIA release on May 13 poised to influence near-term positioning ahead of contract expiry.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$156,209종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting the June contract's current trading level near $95 per barrel amid persistent US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz that have embedded a substantial geopolitical risk premium. Prices pulled back below triple digits last week on hopes of de-escalation but remain up nearly 78% year-to-date, bolstered by the latest EIA report showing a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory drawdown for the week ended May 1. OPEC+'s symbolic 188,000 barrels-per-day output hike announced May 3 offers limited relief against supply disruptions, with the next EIA release on May 13 poised to influence near-term positioning ahead of contract expiry.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문