California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-03 Primary Winners
CA-03 Primary Winners
Ami Bera
94%
Robb Tucker
70%
Christine Bish
20%
Heidi Hall
17%
Chris Bennett
6%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
3%
$4,465 거래량
Ami Bera
94%
Robb Tucker
70%
Christine Bish
20%
Heidi Hall
17%
Chris Bennett
6%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
3%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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