Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted in 2022 of sex trafficking a minor and serving a 20-year sentence in a low-security Texas facility, at just 7.5% by year-end, reflecting the president's repeated non-committal statements and absence of DOJ consultations. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating last week there is a "good chance" of clemency after Epstein-related news subsides—echoing her February House Oversight appearance where she offered testimony in exchange for immunity—no White House action has followed, amid bipartisan congressional opposition and ongoing Epstein file scrutiny. Political risks remain high for such a controversial executive action, with Trump prioritizing other pardons like those for January 6 defendants, though late developments such as new testimony could shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$539,331 Vol.
$539,331 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$539,331 Vol.
$539,331 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted in 2022 of sex trafficking a minor and serving a 20-year sentence in a low-security Texas facility, at just 7.5% by year-end, reflecting the president's repeated non-committal statements and absence of DOJ consultations. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating last week there is a "good chance" of clemency after Epstein-related news subsides—echoing her February House Oversight appearance where she offered testimony in exchange for immunity—no White House action has followed, amid bipartisan congressional opposition and ongoing Epstein file scrutiny. Political risks remain high for such a controversial executive action, with Trump prioritizing other pardons like those for January 6 defendants, though late developments such as new testimony could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$539,331Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted in 2022 of sex trafficking a minor and serving a 20-year sentence in a low-security Texas facility, at just 7.5% by year-end, reflecting the president's repeated non-committal statements and absence of DOJ consultations. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating last week there is a "good chance" of clemency after Epstein-related news subsides—echoing her February House Oversight appearance where she offered testimony in exchange for immunity—no White House action has followed, amid bipartisan congressional opposition and ongoing Epstein file scrutiny. Political risks remain high for such a controversial executive action, with Trump prioritizing other pardons like those for January 6 defendants, though late developments such as new testimony could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$539,331Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted in 2022 of sex trafficking a minor and serving a 20-year sentence in a low-security Texas facility, at just 7.5% by year-end, reflecting the president's repeated non-committal statements and absence of DOJ consultations. Despite her attorney David Oscar Markus stating last week there is a "good chance" of clemency after Epstein-related news subsides—echoing her February House Oversight appearance where she offered testimony in exchange for immunity—no White House action has followed, amid bipartisan congressional opposition and ongoing Epstein file scrutiny. Political risks remain high for such a controversial executive action, with Trump prioritizing other pardons like those for January 6 defendants, though late developments such as new testimony could shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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