Trader consensus prices an 83% chance against Ukraine passing a peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled US-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva that ended without breakthroughs in February, persistent Russian demands for Donbas recognition, and Ukrainian insistence on prior ceasefire and long-term security guarantees. Zelenskyy's April 14 criticism of US negotiators prioritizing the Iran conflict amid ongoing Russian strikes signals fading diplomatic momentum, while March polls from the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology show strong public opposition to territorial concessions in any deal. Without a ceasefire—deemed prerequisite for fair elections or referendums by Kyiv's electoral commission—procedural barriers remain high, with US midterm pressures potentially prolonging uncertainty into late 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl referendum per la pace in Ucraina è passato prima del 2027?
Il referendum per la pace in Ucraina è passato prima del 2027?
Sì
$10,453 Vol.
$10,453 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$10,453 Vol.
$10,453 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 83% chance against Ukraine passing a peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled US-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva that ended without breakthroughs in February, persistent Russian demands for Donbas recognition, and Ukrainian insistence on prior ceasefire and long-term security guarantees. Zelenskyy's April 14 criticism of US negotiators prioritizing the Iran conflict amid ongoing Russian strikes signals fading diplomatic momentum, while March polls from the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology show strong public opposition to territorial concessions in any deal. Without a ceasefire—deemed prerequisite for fair elections or referendums by Kyiv's electoral commission—procedural barriers remain high, with US midterm pressures potentially prolonging uncertainty into late 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$10,453Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 83% chance against Ukraine passing a peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled US-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva that ended without breakthroughs in February, persistent Russian demands for Donbas recognition, and Ukrainian insistence on prior ceasefire and long-term security guarantees. Zelenskyy's April 14 criticism of US negotiators prioritizing the Iran conflict amid ongoing Russian strikes signals fading diplomatic momentum, while March polls from the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology show strong public opposition to territorial concessions in any deal. Without a ceasefire—deemed prerequisite for fair elections or referendums by Kyiv's electoral commission—procedural barriers remain high, with US midterm pressures potentially prolonging uncertainty into late 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,453Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 83% chance against Ukraine passing a peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled US-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva that ended without breakthroughs in February, persistent Russian demands for Donbas recognition, and Ukrainian insistence on prior ceasefire and long-term security guarantees. Zelenskyy's April 14 criticism of US negotiators prioritizing the Iran conflict amid ongoing Russian strikes signals fading diplomatic momentum, while March polls from the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology show strong public opposition to territorial concessions in any deal. Without a ceasefire—deemed prerequisite for fair elections or referendums by Kyiv's electoral commission—procedural barriers remain high, with US midterm pressures potentially prolonging uncertainty into late 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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