The S&P 500 surged to a record close above 7,100 on April 17, capping a third straight week of over 3% gains amid a rebound from March lows and pre-earnings optimism, with FactSet projecting 17% earnings-per-share growth for 2026. The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in March supports trader consensus for a soft landing, though valuations near 23 times trailing earnings signal caution. Polymarket odds reflect this balance, pricing modest upside potential. Analyst year-end targets cluster around 7,200 (JPMorgan) to 8,500, with upcoming first-quarter earnings, April CPI data, and the late-April FOMC meeting poised to sway rate expectations and index trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$54,636 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 9.300 $
5%
↑ $8.600
10%
↑ $8.200
13%
↑ $7.800
30%
↑ 7.600$
56%
↑ 7.400 $
66%
↓ $6.200
61%
↓ $5.800
44%
↓ $5.200
20%
↓ $4.500
16%
$54,636 Vol.
↑ 9.300 $
$977 Vol.
5%
↑ $8.600
$2,324 Vol.
10%
↑ $8.200
$543 Vol.
13%
↑ $7.800
$580 Vol.
30%
↑ 7.600$
$3,536 Vol.
56%
↑ 7.400 $
$1,062 Vol.
66%
↓ $6.200
$10,416 Vol.
61%
↓ $5.800
$9,701 Vol.
44%
↓ $5.200
$7,505 Vol.
20%
↓ $4.500
$9,392 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 surged to a record close above 7,100 on April 17, capping a third straight week of over 3% gains amid a rebound from March lows and pre-earnings optimism, with FactSet projecting 17% earnings-per-share growth for 2026. The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in March supports trader consensus for a soft landing, though valuations near 23 times trailing earnings signal caution. Polymarket odds reflect this balance, pricing modest upside potential. Analyst year-end targets cluster around 7,200 (JPMorgan) to 8,500, with upcoming first-quarter earnings, April CPI data, and the late-April FOMC meeting poised to sway rate expectations and index trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$54,636Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 surged to a record close above 7,100 on April 17, capping a third straight week of over 3% gains amid a rebound from March lows and pre-earnings optimism, with FactSet projecting 17% earnings-per-share growth for 2026. The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in March supports trader consensus for a soft landing, though valuations near 23 times trailing earnings signal caution. Polymarket odds reflect this balance, pricing modest upside potential. Analyst year-end targets cluster around 7,200 (JPMorgan) to 8,500, with upcoming first-quarter earnings, April CPI data, and the late-April FOMC meeting poised to sway rate expectations and index trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$54,636Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 surged to a record close above 7,100 on April 17, capping a third straight week of over 3% gains amid a rebound from March lows and pre-earnings optimism, with FactSet projecting 17% earnings-per-share growth for 2026. The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in March supports trader consensus for a soft landing, though valuations near 23 times trailing earnings signal caution. Polymarket odds reflect this balance, pricing modest upside potential. Analyst year-end targets cluster around 7,200 (JPMorgan) to 8,500, with upcoming first-quarter earnings, April CPI data, and the late-April FOMC meeting poised to sway rate expectations and index trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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