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Tecnologia·AWS

Servizi Down Parlay

Market icon
Tecnologia·AWS

Servizi Down Parlay

3% probabilità
Polymarket

$13,979 Vol.

3% probabilità
Polymarket

$13,979 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the failure of all required conditions to materialize by the March 31, 2026, deadline: while AWS experienced confirmed service disruptions in Middle East regions (ME-CENTRAL-1 and ME-SOUTH-1) starting March 1 due to drone strikes damaging infrastructure and causing elevated error rates across EC2, S3, Lambda, and others per its Health Dashboard, neither Discord nor Cloudflare logged critical incidents on their status pages during the February 11 to March 31 window. Discord outages, like the March 25 voice chat issues, did not reach critical severity, and Cloudflare reported only minor degradations. With resolution sources unambiguous, upside risk to "Yes" remains minimal barring unlikely UMA oracle disputes over incident classifications, though post-deadline clarity from official dashboards solidifies the No outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$13,979
Data di fine
31 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the failure of all required conditions to materialize by the March 31, 2026, deadline: while AWS experienced confirmed service disruptions in Middle East regions (ME-CENTRAL-1 and ME-SOUTH-1) starting March 1 due to drone strikes damaging infrastructure and causing elevated error rates across EC2, S3, Lambda, and others per its Health Dashboard, neither Discord nor Cloudflare logged critical incidents on their status pages during the February 11 to March 31 window. Discord outages, like the March 25 voice chat issues, did not reach critical severity, and Cloudflare reported only minor degradations. With resolution sources unambiguous, upside risk to "Yes" remains minimal barring unlikely UMA oracle disputes over incident classifications, though post-deadline clarity from official dashboards solidifies the No outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$13,979
Data di fine
31 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Servizi Down Parlay" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 3% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 3¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 3% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Servizi Down Parlay" ha generato $14K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Servizi Down Parlay", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Servizi Down Parlay" è 3% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 3% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Servizi Down Parlay" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.