Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBox Office 4° Weekend “Obsession”
24-27 milioni 100.0%
<21 milioni <1%
21-24 milioni <1%
27-30 milioni <1%
$31,738 Vol.
$31,738 Vol.
<21 milioni
No
21-24 milioni
No
24-27 milioni
Sì
27-30 milioni
No
>30 mln
No
24-27 milioni 100.0%
<21 milioni <1%
21-24 milioni <1%
27-30 milioni <1%
$31,738 Vol.
$31,738 Vol.
<21 milioni
No
21-24 milioni
No
24-27 milioni
Sì
27-30 milioni
No
>30 mln
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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