Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) share price closing the week of April 27, 2026, in the $90-$100 range, reflecting the confirmed NYSE close at $91.37 on April 27 amid elevated trading volume of nearly 30 million shares. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where revenue of $12.25 billion beat estimates but Q2 guidance of $12.5 billion fell short of the $12.6 billion consensus, triggering a 14% plunge into the low $90s; a subsequent $25 billion share repurchase authorization on April 23 provided modest support amid sector rotation and macro risk-off sentiment. With official exchange data affirming resolution, challenges would require anomalous data revisions or exchange errors, both highly improbable.