Microsoft shares closed at approximately $464.72 on July 31 after surging more than 15% following fiscal fourth-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with Azure revenue growth accelerating to 43% year-over-year amid sustained AI demand. This momentum, alongside maintained capital expenditure guidance and robust free cash flow, has supported trader positioning into August, though the stock remains down year-to-date amid earlier sector rotation. Key near-term factors include the August 20 ex-dividend date, ongoing AI infrastructure spending, and broader market sensitivity to Treasury yields and upcoming economic data releases. Analyst consensus targets average near $559, reflecting expectations for continued cloud and Copilot expansion through the quarter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
$375
88%
$390
87%
$405
84%
$420
80%
$435
76%
$450
62%
$465
49%
$480
36%
$495
25%
$510
16%
$525
11%
$540
7%
$555
5%
$0.00 Vol.
$375
88%
$390
87%
$405
84%
$420
80%
$435
76%
$450
62%
$465
49%
$480
36%
$495
25%
$510
16%
$525
11%
$540
7%
$555
5%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares closed at approximately $464.72 on July 31 after surging more than 15% following fiscal fourth-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with Azure revenue growth accelerating to 43% year-over-year amid sustained AI demand. This momentum, alongside maintained capital expenditure guidance and robust free cash flow, has supported trader positioning into August, though the stock remains down year-to-date amid earlier sector rotation. Key near-term factors include the August 20 ex-dividend date, ongoing AI infrastructure spending, and broader market sensitivity to Treasury yields and upcoming economic data releases. Analyst consensus targets average near $559, reflecting expectations for continued cloud and Copilot expansion through the quarter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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