Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at exactly 3.3%, confirmed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 showing a year-over-year rise to 3.3% from February's 2.4%, the sharpest monthly jump since 2022. This surge stems from a 10.9% energy index increase—led by 21.2% gasoline gains amid escalating Iran-related geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices—aligning with pre-release economist forecasts around 3.3%. Core CPI also accelerated, reinforcing sticky inflation pressures. While BLS data carries high finality, rare methodological revisions or data corrections could theoretically challenge resolution, though historical precedent suggests minimal risk ahead of the next April report on May 12.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarch Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
3.3% 100.0%
≤2.6% <1%
2.7% <1%
2.8% <1%
$1,242,667 Vol.
$1,242,667 Vol.
10 apr 2026
≤2.6%
No
2.7%
No
2.8%
No
2.9%
No
3.0%
No
3.1%
No
3.2%
No
3.3%
Yes
≥3.4%
No
3.3% 100.0%
≤2.6% <1%
2.7% <1%
2.8% <1%
$1,242,667 Vol.
$1,242,667 Vol.
10 apr 2026
≤2.6%
$145,060 Vol.
No
2.7%
$136,763 Vol.
No
2.8%
$71,604 Vol.
No
2.9%
$76,094 Vol.
No
3.0%
$81,094 Vol.
No
3.1%
$134,628 Vol.
No
3.2%
$72,548 Vol.
No
3.3%
$216,587 Vol.
Yes
≥3.4%
$308,290 Vol.
No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at exactly 3.3%, confirmed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 showing a year-over-year rise to 3.3% from February's 2.4%, the sharpest monthly jump since 2022. This surge stems from a 10.9% energy index increase—led by 21.2% gasoline gains amid escalating Iran-related geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices—aligning with pre-release economist forecasts around 3.3%. Core CPI also accelerated, reinforcing sticky inflation pressures. While BLS data carries high finality, rare methodological revisions or data corrections could theoretically challenge resolution, though historical precedent suggests minimal risk ahead of the next April report on May 12.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,242,667Data di fine
10 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at exactly 3.3%, confirmed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 showing a year-over-year rise to 3.3% from February's 2.4%, the sharpest monthly jump since 2022. This surge stems from a 10.9% energy index increase—led by 21.2% gasoline gains amid escalating Iran-related geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices—aligning with pre-release economist forecasts around 3.3%. Core CPI also accelerated, reinforcing sticky inflation pressures. While BLS data carries high finality, rare methodological revisions or data corrections could theoretically challenge resolution, though historical precedent suggests minimal risk ahead of the next April report on May 12.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$1,242,667Data di fine
10 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at exactly 3.3%, confirmed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 showing a year-over-year rise to 3.3% from February's 2.4%, the sharpest monthly jump since 2022. This surge stems from a 10.9% energy index increase—led by 21.2% gasoline gains amid escalating Iran-related geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices—aligning with pre-release economist forecasts around 3.3%. Core CPI also accelerated, reinforcing sticky inflation pressures. While BLS data carries high finality, rare methodological revisions or data corrections could theoretically challenge resolution, though historical precedent suggests minimal risk ahead of the next April report on May 12.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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