Recent April 2026 ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, slightly below consensus, highlighted a modest slowdown driven by a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders to 53.5 alongside persistent price pressures at 70.7 amid Middle East-related energy costs and tariffs. Employment contracted for a second month at 48.0, while business activity strengthened to 55.9, keeping the sector in expansion for the 22nd straight month. These mixed signals, combined with broader labor market softening and inflation concerns, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds across mid-40s to low-50s ranges, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether May readings will stabilize near recent averages or edge lower. The June 3 release will clarify the trajectory ahead of further Fed policy signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato55,0+ 91%
52,0–52,9 48%
50.0–50.9 47%
48,0–48,9 38%
<47.0
22%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
38%
49,0–49,9
49%
50.0–50.9
47%
51,0–51,9
47%
52,0–52,9
48%
53,0–53,9
46%
54,0–54,9
47%
55,0+
91%
55,0+ 91%
52,0–52,9 48%
50.0–50.9 47%
48,0–48,9 38%
<47.0
22%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
38%
49,0–49,9
49%
50.0–50.9
47%
51,0–51,9
47%
52,0–52,9
48%
53,0–53,9
46%
54,0–54,9
47%
55,0+
91%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, slightly below consensus, highlighted a modest slowdown driven by a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders to 53.5 alongside persistent price pressures at 70.7 amid Middle East-related energy costs and tariffs. Employment contracted for a second month at 48.0, while business activity strengthened to 55.9, keeping the sector in expansion for the 22nd straight month. These mixed signals, combined with broader labor market softening and inflation concerns, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds across mid-40s to low-50s ranges, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether May readings will stabilize near recent averages or edge lower. The June 3 release will clarify the trajectory ahead of further Fed policy signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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