Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 aprile?
30°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 Vol.
$69,804 Vol.
17 apr 2026
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Sì
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 Vol.
$69,804 Vol.
17 apr 2026
24°C o inferiore
$8,953 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,973 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,178 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,978 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,192 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,238 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,995 Vol.
Sì
31°C
$8,686 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,686 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,952 Vol.
No
34°C o superiore
$1,972 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$69,804Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$69,804Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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