Official Weather Underground historical data for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD), the market's resolution source, confirms the highest temperature on April 16, 2026, reached 26°C (79°F) at 5:30 PM under fair skies with no precipitation. This outcome matches closely with AEMET observations showing 26.1°C peaks around 17:00 and pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models forecasting 24-26°C amid high-pressure ridging and abundant sunshine, warmer than Madrid's typical mid-April average of 18-19°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects this robust observational evidence from calibrated airport sensors. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented post-finalization revisions by meteorological agencies, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 16 aprile?
26°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$132,833 Vol.
$132,833 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o più
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$132,833 Vol.
$132,833 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o più
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Weather Underground historical data for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD), the market's resolution source, confirms the highest temperature on April 16, 2026, reached 26°C (79°F) at 5:30 PM under fair skies with no precipitation. This outcome matches closely with AEMET observations showing 26.1°C peaks around 17:00 and pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models forecasting 24-26°C amid high-pressure ridging and abundant sunshine, warmer than Madrid's typical mid-April average of 18-19°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects this robust observational evidence from calibrated airport sensors. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented post-finalization revisions by meteorological agencies, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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