Gold futures for June 2026 settlement trade near $4,500 per ounce following consolidation after 2025 highs above $5,500, driving the Polymarket-implied probabilities toward the closely matched $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 buckets. Sustained central bank purchases, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and diversification flows support the elevated range, while a firmer U.S. dollar and real yields have capped gains near current levels. Recent April PCE data aligning with expectations eased immediate rate-hike fears and aided the rebound from sub-$4,400 lows, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty ahead of upcoming inflation releases and Federal Reserve communications that could shift the rate path and risk appetite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
$4.200-$4.600 40.0%
$4.600-$5.000 35%
$3.800-$4.200 14.6%
$5.000-$5.400 7.2%
$983,125 Vol.
$983,125 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
40%
$4.600-$5.000
35%
$5.000-$5.400
7%
$5.400-$5.800
2%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.200-$4.600 40.0%
$4.600-$5.000 35%
$3.800-$4.200 14.6%
$5.000-$5.400 7.2%
$983,125 Vol.
$983,125 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
40%
$4.600-$5.000
35%
$5.000-$5.400
7%
$5.400-$5.800
2%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures for June 2026 settlement trade near $4,500 per ounce following consolidation after 2025 highs above $5,500, driving the Polymarket-implied probabilities toward the closely matched $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 buckets. Sustained central bank purchases, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and diversification flows support the elevated range, while a firmer U.S. dollar and real yields have capped gains near current levels. Recent April PCE data aligning with expectations eased immediate rate-hike fears and aided the rebound from sub-$4,400 lows, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty ahead of upcoming inflation releases and Federal Reserve communications that could shift the rate path and risk appetite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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