Gold futures (GC) have traded near $4,500 per ounce in late May 2026 following a sharp correction from January highs above $5,400, leaving the two leading June settlement ranges—$4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000—nearly tied at 35.5% and 33.5% implied probability. Persistent central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and hotter-than-expected April CPI data that reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve easing continue to support prices, while a firmer U.S. dollar and seasonal demand lull weigh on momentum. Traders are pricing in elevated volatility around these levels ahead of upcoming inflation releases and any further policy signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
$4.200-$4.600 35.5%
$4.600-$5.000 34%
$3.800-$4.200 16.1%
$5.000-$5.400 7.4%
$982,501 Vol.
$982,501 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
16%
$4.200-$4.600
36%
$4.600-$5.000
34%
$5.000-$5.400
7%
$5.400-$5.800
2%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.200-$4.600 35.5%
$4.600-$5.000 34%
$3.800-$4.200 16.1%
$5.000-$5.400 7.4%
$982,501 Vol.
$982,501 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
16%
$4.200-$4.600
36%
$4.600-$5.000
34%
$5.000-$5.400
7%
$5.400-$5.800
2%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures (GC) have traded near $4,500 per ounce in late May 2026 following a sharp correction from January highs above $5,400, leaving the two leading June settlement ranges—$4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000—nearly tied at 35.5% and 33.5% implied probability. Persistent central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and hotter-than-expected April CPI data that reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve easing continue to support prices, while a firmer U.S. dollar and seasonal demand lull weigh on momentum. Traders are pricing in elevated volatility around these levels ahead of upcoming inflation releases and any further policy signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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