Mexico leads trader consensus at 48% implied probability to win Group A thanks to co-host advantages, including likely home matches at Estadio Azteca, a superior FIFA ranking around 15th, and solid recent friendlies with 0-0 draws against Portugal and 1-1 versus Belgium showcasing defensive resilience. Czechia's recent penalty-shootout qualification over Denmark on March 31—after a competitive 2-2 draw—fuels the bundled UEFA outcome at 24%, reflecting their playoff momentum despite a 20-year World Cup absence. South Korea sits at 20% amid consistent historical group advancement but weakened by poor prep results, including 0-4 losses to Ivory Coast and 0-1 to Austria. South Africa's 6.8% trails due to mixed Panama friendlies (1-1 draw, 1-2 loss) and lower ranking near 60th, positioning the group as closely contested with upset potential. Mexico right-back Julián Araujo's recent injury adds minor uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Gruppo A Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Vincitore Gruppo A Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Messico 48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL 24%
Corea del Sud 20%
Sudafrica 6.8%
$272,034 Vol.
$272,034 Vol.
Messico
48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL
24%
Corea del Sud
20%
Sudafrica
7%
Messico 48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL 24%
Corea del Sud 20%
Sudafrica 6.8%
$272,034 Vol.
$272,034 Vol.
Messico
48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL
24%
Corea del Sud
20%
Sudafrica
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico leads trader consensus at 48% implied probability to win Group A thanks to co-host advantages, including likely home matches at Estadio Azteca, a superior FIFA ranking around 15th, and solid recent friendlies with 0-0 draws against Portugal and 1-1 versus Belgium showcasing defensive resilience. Czechia's recent penalty-shootout qualification over Denmark on March 31—after a competitive 2-2 draw—fuels the bundled UEFA outcome at 24%, reflecting their playoff momentum despite a 20-year World Cup absence. South Korea sits at 20% amid consistent historical group advancement but weakened by poor prep results, including 0-4 losses to Ivory Coast and 0-1 to Austria. South Africa's 6.8% trails due to mixed Panama friendlies (1-1 draw, 1-2 loss) and lower ranking near 60th, positioning the group as closely contested with upset potential. Mexico right-back Julián Araujo's recent injury adds minor uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti