Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after Kimi Antonelli's dominant Miami Grand Prix victory—his third win of the season—extending their edge over Ferrari (110 points) and McLaren (94 points), as trader consensus prices reflect at 73.5% implied probability. Antonelli (100 driver points) and George Russell (80 points) have delivered consistent podiums and maximum points across the last three Grands Prix, capitalizing on the new power unit regulations where Mercedes' adaptation shines. McLaren's recent double podiums in Miami narrowed the gap to Ferrari, boosting their 15.4% odds amid upward momentum, while Ferrari's 7.5% reflects stalled progress despite Charles Leclerc's efforts. Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.7%, with remaining races like Canada favoring the leaders' race pace and strategy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,774 Vol.
$15,814,774 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
15%

Ferrari
8%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,774 Vol.
$15,814,774 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
15%

Ferrari
8%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after Kimi Antonelli's dominant Miami Grand Prix victory—his third win of the season—extending their edge over Ferrari (110 points) and McLaren (94 points), as trader consensus prices reflect at 73.5% implied probability. Antonelli (100 driver points) and George Russell (80 points) have delivered consistent podiums and maximum points across the last three Grands Prix, capitalizing on the new power unit regulations where Mercedes' adaptation shines. McLaren's recent double podiums in Miami narrowed the gap to Ferrari, boosting their 15.4% odds amid upward momentum, while Ferrari's 7.5% reflects stalled progress despite Charles Leclerc's efforts. Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.7%, with remaining races like Canada favoring the leaders' race pace and strategy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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