Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,458 Vol.
$15,814,458 Vol.
6 dic 2026
Mercedes
74%
McLaren
15%
Ferrari
8%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,458 Vol.
$15,814,458 Vol.
6 dic 2026
Mercedes
$597,070 Vol.
74%
McLaren
$1,409,113 Vol.
15%
Ferrari
$309,528 Vol.
8%
Red Bull Racing
$542,043 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$1,898,571 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,815,070 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$1,747,940 Vol.
1%
Haas
$1,925,597 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$1,928,883 Vol.
1%
Williams
$2,046,207 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$1,594,437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$15,814,458Data di fine
6 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$15,814,458Data di fine
6 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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