Anthropic’s April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which improved advanced coding and long-running agent tasks, has set the stage for the next iterative update. Leaks of Sonnet 4.8 and Opus 4.8 model identifiers in Claude Code source maps and on Google Vertex AI in late March through May indicate active development and internal testing, consistent with Anthropic’s historical cadence of shipping Sonnet variants shortly after corresponding Opus models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to drive rapid iteration cycles, while the absence of an official announcement or benchmark keeps release timing uncertain. Traders are watching for a public launch window in May or June that would align with typical post-Opus patterns and API availability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoClaude 4.8 released by...?
Claude 4.8 released by...?
$681,124 Vol.
31 lug 2026
May 31
Yes
June 15
Yes
June 30
Yes
July 31
Yes
$681,124 Vol.
May 31
$565,752 Vol.
Yes
June 15
$53,008 Vol.
Yes
June 30
$29,745 Vol.
Yes
July 31
$32,619 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which improved advanced coding and long-running agent tasks, has set the stage for the next iterative update. Leaks of Sonnet 4.8 and Opus 4.8 model identifiers in Claude Code source maps and on Google Vertex AI in late March through May indicate active development and internal testing, consistent with Anthropic’s historical cadence of shipping Sonnet variants shortly after corresponding Opus models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to drive rapid iteration cycles, while the absence of an official announcement or benchmark keeps release timing uncertain. Traders are watching for a public launch window in May or June that would align with typical post-Opus patterns and API availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
Volume
$681,124Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which improved advanced coding and long-running agent tasks, has set the stage for the next iterative update. Leaks of Sonnet 4.8 and Opus 4.8 model identifiers in Claude Code source maps and on Google Vertex AI in late March through May indicate active development and internal testing, consistent with Anthropic’s historical cadence of shipping Sonnet variants shortly after corresponding Opus models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to drive rapid iteration cycles, while the absence of an official announcement or benchmark keeps release timing uncertain. Traders are watching for a public launch window in May or June that would align with typical post-Opus patterns and API availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$681,124Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Anthropic’s April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which improved advanced coding and long-running agent tasks, has set the stage for the next iterative update. Leaks of Sonnet 4.8 and Opus 4.8 model identifiers in Claude Code source maps and on Google Vertex AI in late March through May indicate active development and internal testing, consistent with Anthropic’s historical cadence of shipping Sonnet variants shortly after corresponding Opus models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to drive rapid iteration cycles, while the absence of an official announcement or benchmark keeps release timing uncertain. Traders are watching for a public launch window in May or June that would align with typical post-Opus patterns and API availability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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