Recent easing in U.S.-Iran tensions and progress toward reopening Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes has reduced the geopolitical risk premium in WTI crude futures, anchoring front-month prices near $88 per barrel as of late May after earlier spikes above $100. This price action underpins the 56% market-implied probability of June settlement above $84, reinforced by consecutive large EIA inventory draws that have tightened near-term supply balances. Record U.S. exports and a firm dollar continue to cap further upside, while softer OPEC and EIA demand-growth forecasts support expectations for range-bound trading reflected in the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 interval. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final diplomatic signals on Hormuz flows represent the key near-term catalysts ahead of June resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoA cosa si stabilizzerà il petrolio greggio (CL) a giugno?
A cosa si stabilizzerà il petrolio greggio (CL) a giugno?
>$84 56%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.2%
$63-$70 3.0%
$206,086 Vol.
$206,086 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sotto $42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49–$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
12%
$77-$84
20%
>$84
56%
>$84 56%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.2%
$63-$70 3.0%
$206,086 Vol.
$206,086 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sotto $42
$21,291 Vol.
<1%
$42-$49
$10,192 Vol.
1%
$49–$56
$12,160 Vol.
1%
$56-$63
$14,140 Vol.
1%
$63-$70
$27,287 Vol.
3%
$70-$77
$16,940 Vol.
12%
$77-$84
$17,111 Vol.
20%
>$84
$86,966 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent easing in U.S.-Iran tensions and progress toward reopening Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes has reduced the geopolitical risk premium in WTI crude futures, anchoring front-month prices near $88 per barrel as of late May after earlier spikes above $100. This price action underpins the 56% market-implied probability of June settlement above $84, reinforced by consecutive large EIA inventory draws that have tightened near-term supply balances. Record U.S. exports and a firm dollar continue to cap further upside, while softer OPEC and EIA demand-growth forecasts support expectations for range-bound trading reflected in the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 interval. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final diplomatic signals on Hormuz flows represent the key near-term catalysts ahead of June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$206,086Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent easing in U.S.-Iran tensions and progress toward reopening Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes has reduced the geopolitical risk premium in WTI crude futures, anchoring front-month prices near $88 per barrel as of late May after earlier spikes above $100. This price action underpins the 56% market-implied probability of June settlement above $84, reinforced by consecutive large EIA inventory draws that have tightened near-term supply balances. Record U.S. exports and a firm dollar continue to cap further upside, while softer OPEC and EIA demand-growth forecasts support expectations for range-bound trading reflected in the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 interval. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final diplomatic signals on Hormuz flows represent the key near-term catalysts ahead of June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$206,086Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent easing in U.S.-Iran tensions and progress toward reopening Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes has reduced the geopolitical risk premium in WTI crude futures, anchoring front-month prices near $88 per barrel as of late May after earlier spikes above $100. This price action underpins the 56% market-implied probability of June settlement above $84, reinforced by consecutive large EIA inventory draws that have tightened near-term supply balances. Record U.S. exports and a firm dollar continue to cap further upside, while softer OPEC and EIA demand-growth forecasts support expectations for range-bound trading reflected in the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 interval. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final diplomatic signals on Hormuz flows represent the key near-term catalysts ahead of June resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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