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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas

Omar Aziz 50%

Professoressa Maria do Carmo 34%

Roberto Cidade 14.7%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,633 Vol.

Omar Aziz 50%

Professoressa Maria do Carmo 34%

Roberto Cidade 14.7%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,633 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$9,905 Vol.

54%

icon for Professoressa Maria do Carmo

Professoressa Maria do Carmo

$6,370 Vol.

34%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$5,211 Vol.

15%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$2,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,935 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Amazonas gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with recent polling showing him at 26-34% while Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) cluster in the mid-teens to mid-20s. The fragmented field and high undecided share have kept first-round outcomes uncertain, increasing the chance of a runoff on October 25 where second-round simulations show Aziz in tight matchups, often within a few points of Maria do Carmo or Cidade. Ongoing candidate interviews and regional campaigning on health infrastructure, public employment, and labor rules have not produced decisive shifts, while scheduled debates later this month could still alter momentum. The market's close pricing around 50% for leading names reflects this balanced contest and the potential for late swings in voter preferences or turnout.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,633
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Amazonas gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with recent polling showing him at 26-34% while Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) cluster in the mid-teens to mid-20s. The fragmented field and high undecided share have kept first-round outcomes uncertain, increasing the chance of a runoff on October 25 where second-round simulations show Aziz in tight matchups, often within a few points of Maria do Carmo or Cidade. Ongoing candidate interviews and regional campaigning on health infrastructure, public employment, and labor rules have not produced decisive shifts, while scheduled debates later this month could still alter momentum. The market's close pricing around 50% for leading names reflects this balanced contest and the potential for late swings in voter preferences or turnout.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,633
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Omar Aziz" a 54%, seguito da "Professoressa Maria do Carmo" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 54¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" ha generato $29.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" è "Omar Aziz" a 54%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Professoressa Maria do Carmo" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.