**No known near-Earth asteroids tracked by NASA’s CNEOS Sentry system or ESA monitoring carry any impact probability for 2026 capable of producing a 5-kiloton or greater airburst.** Ongoing surveys continue to refine orbits of catalogued objects, with risk lists showing only distant or low-probability threats in later years, while small meteoroids in the relevant size range (roughly 5–20 meters) remain largely undetected until atmospheric entry. Historical fireball data indicate such events occur irregularly, often every few years on average, yet the absence of any confirmed 5 kt-scale bolide through October 2026, combined with routine close approaches that all resulted in misses, reinforces trader consensus favoring resolution to “No.” New survey data and model updates through year-end remain the key variables that could alter this assessment.