Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

peluang

Yes

BARU

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

99%

No change

Hike 25 bps

$55K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

3.75%

Yes7%No93%

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

3.75%

Yes7%No93%

$26K Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 31

19%

Yes19%No82%

November 30

Yes7%No94%

December 31

19%

Yes19%No82%

November 30

Yes7%No94%

$13K Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

75%

peluang

Yes

$1M Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 31

10%

Yes10%No91%

November 30

Yes3%No97%

December 31

10%

Yes10%No91%

November 30

Yes3%No97%

$32K Vol.

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

peluang

Yes

$30K Vol.

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$50K Vol.

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No30%

1 (25 bps)

23%

Yes23%No77%

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No30%

1 (25 bps)

23%

Yes23%No77%

$1M Vol.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 31

October 31

December 31

October 31

$37K Vol.

Berapa suku bunga Fed pada akhir 2026?

4,25%

69%

Ya.69%Tid.31%

4,0%

19%

Ya.19%Tid.81%

4,25%

69%

Ya.69%Tid.31%

4,0%

19%

Ya.19%Tid.81%

$7M Vol.

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

peluang

Yes

BARU

Jerome Powell federally charged by...? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

peluang

Yes

$320K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

10%

peluang

Yes

$470K Vol.

Fed rate dipotong oleh...?

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No50%

April 2027 Meeting

39%

Yes39%No61%

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No50%

April 2027 Meeting

39%

Yes39%No61%

$4M Vol.

Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?

↑ 4,25%

75%

Ya.75%Tid.25%

↑ 4,5%

Ya.9%Tid.92%

↑ 4,25%

75%

Ya.75%Tid.25%

↑ 4,5%

Ya.9%Tid.92%

$2M Vol.

Berapa banyak penurunan suku bunga Fed pada tahun 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

Ya.97%Tid.3%

1 (25 bps)

Ya.1%Tid.99%

0 (0 bps)

97%

Ya.97%Tid.3%

1 (25 bps)

Ya.1%Tid.99%

$55M Vol.

Baru

Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Berapa suku bunga Fed pada akhir 2026?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Fed rate dipotong oleh...?

Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?

Berapa banyak penurunan suku bunga Fed pada tahun 2026?