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Will John Fleming drop out?

icon for Will John Fleming drop out?

Will John Fleming drop out?

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$4,088 Vol.

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$4,088 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican primary runoff for the U.S. Senate seat after finishing second behind Rep. Julia Letlow in the May 16 contest. He has repeatedly rejected reported offers of administration positions, including a CDC deputy director role floated earlier this year, and has maintained an active campaign schedule with public events and fundraising into mid-June. Fleming continues to emphasize his positions on issues such as opposition to certain carbon storage projects, signaling sustained commitment with only days remaining before the runoff and the market's resolution deadline. These consistent actions by the candidate and the compressed timeline underpin trader consensus against a withdrawal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,088
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican primary runoff for the U.S. Senate seat after finishing second behind Rep. Julia Letlow in the May 16 contest. He has repeatedly rejected reported offers of administration positions, including a CDC deputy director role floated earlier this year, and has maintained an active campaign schedule with public events and fundraising into mid-June. Fleming continues to emphasize his positions on issues such as opposition to certain carbon storage projects, signaling sustained commitment with only days remaining before the runoff and the market's resolution deadline. These consistent actions by the candidate and the compressed timeline underpin trader consensus against a withdrawal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,088
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will John Fleming drop out?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 0¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will John Fleming drop out?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will John Fleming drop out?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will John Fleming drop out?" adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will John Fleming drop out?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.