Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71.5% to win Florida's open gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' commanding lead in the GOP primary—46% in the April 2 Emerson College poll—bolstered by the party's voter registration advantage and historical strength in the battleground state. Recent surveys, including mid-April Keystone and MDW polls, show tight hypotheticals like Donalds or James Fishback edging Democrat David Jolly by slim margins amid high Democratic undecideds, but traders price in Republican path-to-victory via turnout and swing voter leans. Primaries on August 18 could shift dynamics, with Gov. DeSantis' April 16 special session on congressional maps signaling GOP momentum ahead of midterms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$14,527 Vol.
$14,527 Vol.

Republican
72%

Democrat
25%
$14,527 Vol.
$14,527 Vol.

Republican
72%

Democrat
25%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71.5% to win Florida's open gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' commanding lead in the GOP primary—46% in the April 2 Emerson College poll—bolstered by the party's voter registration advantage and historical strength in the battleground state. Recent surveys, including mid-April Keystone and MDW polls, show tight hypotheticals like Donalds or James Fishback edging Democrat David Jolly by slim margins amid high Democratic undecideds, but traders price in Republican path-to-victory via turnout and swing voter leans. Primaries on August 18 could shift dynamics, with Gov. DeSantis' April 16 special session on congressional maps signaling GOP momentum ahead of midterms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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