Recent supply chain reports confirming mass production and a locked design have reinforced trader expectations that Apple will launch its first foldable iPhone, often called the iPhone Ultra, in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Book-style hardware with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display is advancing despite earlier engineering hurdles around hinges and yields, with analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman citing on-track timelines and initial Foxconn production. Limited early volumes and premium pricing above $2,000 reflect manufacturing complexity but do not alter the 2026 window. Remaining risks include final validation adjustments that could slip shipments into early 2027, though current momentum supports the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui91% peluang
$263,181 Vol.
$263,181 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
91% peluang
$263,181 Vol.
$263,181 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports confirming mass production and a locked design have reinforced trader expectations that Apple will launch its first foldable iPhone, often called the iPhone Ultra, in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Book-style hardware with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display is advancing despite earlier engineering hurdles around hinges and yields, with analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman citing on-track timelines and initial Foxconn production. Limited early volumes and premium pricing above $2,000 reflect manufacturing complexity but do not alter the 2026 window. Remaining risks include final validation adjustments that could slip shipments into early 2027, though current momentum supports the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$263,181Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports confirming mass production and a locked design have reinforced trader expectations that Apple will launch its first foldable iPhone, often called the iPhone Ultra, in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Book-style hardware with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display is advancing despite earlier engineering hurdles around hinges and yields, with analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman citing on-track timelines and initial Foxconn production. Limited early volumes and premium pricing above $2,000 reflect manufacturing complexity but do not alter the 2026 window. Remaining risks include final validation adjustments that could slip shipments into early 2027, though current momentum supports the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$263,181Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports confirming mass production and a locked design have reinforced trader expectations that Apple will launch its first foldable iPhone, often called the iPhone Ultra, in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Book-style hardware with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display is advancing despite earlier engineering hurdles around hinges and yields, with analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman citing on-track timelines and initial Foxconn production. Limited early volumes and premium pricing above $2,000 reflect manufacturing complexity but do not alter the 2026 window. Remaining risks include final validation adjustments that could slip shipments into early 2027, though current momentum supports the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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