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EkonomiΒ·Big Tech

CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?

Market icon
EkonomiΒ·Big Tech

CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?

$593,704 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$593,704 Vol.

Polymarket
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This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 29% implied probability to Sam Altman departing as OpenAI CEO before year-end, recently surpassing Tim Cook's 26% for Apple amid OpenAI's abrupt executive exodus on April 17β€”including key product and technology leadersβ€”following CFO Sarah Friar's public rift with Altman over an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline. Persistent Apple succession speculation, fueled by March rumors of Cook's potential handover to COO John Ternus despite his denials, keeps that outcome close, while broader pressures like massive 2026 tech layoffs (over 90,000 jobs) and AI investment surges weigh on Amazon's Andy Jassy (14%) and Google's Sundar Pichai (11%). Q2 earnings calls and regulatory scrutiny on AI labs could trigger further shifts before the December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$593,704
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 29% implied probability to Sam Altman departing as OpenAI CEO before year-end, recently surpassing Tim Cook's 26% for Apple amid OpenAI's abrupt executive exodus on April 17β€”including key product and technology leadersβ€”following CFO Sarah Friar's public rift with Altman over an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline. Persistent Apple succession speculation, fueled by March rumors of Cook's potential handover to COO John Ternus despite his denials, keeps that outcome close, while broader pressures like massive 2026 tech layoffs (over 90,000 jobs) and AI investment surges weigh on Amazon's Andy Jassy (14%) and Google's Sundar Pichai (11%). Q2 earnings calls and regulatory scrutiny on AI labs could trigger further shifts before the December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$593,704
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tim Cook - Apple" di 26%, diikuti oleh "Sam Altman - OpenAI" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 26Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $593.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?" adalah "Tim Cook - Apple" di 26%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sam Altman - OpenAI" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CEO mana yang akan keluar sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.