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Politik·Primer

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 87%

James Osyf 6.3%

Burk Stringfellow 3.9%

Matt Strickler 3.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Elaine Luria 87%

James Osyf 6.3%

Burk Stringfellow 3.9%

Matt Strickler 3.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Elaine Luria

$1,261 Vol.

87%

James Osyf

$1,097 Vol.

6%

Burk Stringfellow

$0 Vol.

4%

Matt Strickler

$0 Vol.

3%

Nila Devanath

$794 Vol.

3%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,509 Vol.

2%

Nicolaus Sleister

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, fueled by her incumbency advantage from serving the district 2019-2023, superior name recognition as a Navy veteran, and overwhelming fundraising lead with $2.87 million raised to date—including a record $1.75 million Q1 haul announced early April yielding $2 million cash on hand. James Osyf trails at 7.3% with $411,000 raised, while others like Matt Strickler ($306,000) and Nila Devanath ($230,000) lag far behind amid no public polling. DCCC's February Red to Blue endorsement bolsters Luria's path, though crowded field and potential redistricting shifts leave room for late momentum before summer campaigning intensifies.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,661
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, fueled by her incumbency advantage from serving the district 2019-2023, superior name recognition as a Navy veteran, and overwhelming fundraising lead with $2.87 million raised to date—including a record $1.75 million Q1 haul announced early April yielding $2 million cash on hand. James Osyf trails at 7.3% with $411,000 raised, while others like Matt Strickler ($306,000) and Nila Devanath ($230,000) lag far behind amid no public polling. DCCC's February Red to Blue endorsement bolsters Luria's path, though crowded field and potential redistricting shifts leave room for late momentum before summer campaigning intensifies.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,661
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elaine Luria" di 87%, diikuti oleh "James Osyf" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 87¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Elaine Luria" di 87%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "James Osyf" di 6%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.