**A24’s “Primetime,” the Robert Pattinson-led true-crime drama about “To Catch a Predator” host Chris Hansen, posted an $8 million second weekend after a 58% drop from its $19.2 million debut, landing squarely in the 7-9 million range that now carries overwhelming market-implied odds.** Strong opening-weekend momentum from Gen Z audiences (69% under 30), Venice buzz, and Pattinson’s draw sustained play despite a mixed B CinemaScore and competition from holdovers like the “Avengers: Endgame Encore” rerelease. The modest $15 million budget and early profitability narrative further reinforced trader confidence in a stable sophomore frame. An upset into the 9-11 million or higher brackets would require unusually resilient weekday holds or a late surge in word-of-mouth that defies the observed 58% decline, while a steeper drop below 7 million would need sharper audience rejection than exit polls and tracking indicated.