Robert Pattinson’s star power and strong Gen Z turnout drove Primetime’s solid $19.2 million opening weekend for A24, setting up the market’s near-certain call for a 7-9 million second-weekend gross. The true-crime thriller, centered on Chris Hansen and To Catch a Predator, earned strong reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and Venice buzz that translated into broad appeal despite its unsettling subject matter, while the film’s modest $15 million budget positioned it for quick profitability regardless of hold. A typical 58% sophomore drop produced the expected $8 million frame and a $34 million ten-day domestic total. An upset outside that narrow band would require an unusually sharp word-of-mouth surge or dramatic shift in theater counts, both unlikely this late in the run.