Former President Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, married since 1992, have faced recurring divorce speculation tied to the former first lady’s absences from select public events in early 2025. The couple directly addressed and dismissed those rumors during a July 2025 podcast appearance, with Michelle Obama stating there had never been a moment she considered ending the marriage and Barack Obama joking about the speculation. Subsequent public sightings and statements through mid-2026 have shown no filings, separations, or official announcements consistent with divorce proceedings. Traders assign a 92% probability to “No” because these factors align with the historical stability of the marriage and the absence of verifiable developments that would trigger resolution before 2027.
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Former President Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, married since 1992, have faced recurring divorce speculation tied to the former first lady’s absences from select public events in early 2025. The couple directly addressed and dismissed those rumors during a July 2025 podcast appearance, with Michelle Obama stating there had never been a moment she considered ending the marriage and Barack Obama joking about the speculation. Subsequent public sightings and statements through mid-2026 have shown no filings, separations, or official announcements consistent with divorce proceedings. Traders assign a 92% probability to “No” because these factors align with the historical stability of the marriage and the absence of verifiable developments that would trigger resolution before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 12:45 PM ET
Volume
$1,220Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Former President Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, married since 1992, have faced recurring divorce speculation tied to the former first lady’s absences from select public events in early 2025. The couple directly addressed and dismissed those rumors during a July 2025 podcast appearance, with Michelle Obama stating there had never been a moment she considered ending the marriage and Barack Obama joking about the speculation. Subsequent public sightings and statements through mid-2026 have shown no filings, separations, or official announcements consistent with divorce proceedings. Traders assign a 92% probability to “No” because these factors align with the historical stability of the marriage and the absence of verifiable developments that would trigger resolution before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$1,220Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former President Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, married since 1992, have faced recurring divorce speculation tied to the former first lady’s absences from select public events in early 2025. The couple directly addressed and dismissed those rumors during a July 2025 podcast appearance, with Michelle Obama stating there had never been a moment she considered ending the marriage and Barack Obama joking about the speculation. Subsequent public sightings and statements through mid-2026 have shown no filings, separations, or official announcements consistent with divorce proceedings. Traders assign a 92% probability to “No” because these factors align with the historical stability of the marriage and the absence of verifiable developments that would trigger resolution before 2027.
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